8
Golden Truth
4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 92
Woodbine · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
61%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-24 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 24/05/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 06/07/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 44% | -0.21 |
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 24/08/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |