3
Lover Boy Mo
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 97
Woodbine · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 14/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |