William T
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 97
Woodbine · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-07-13 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-06-01 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2024 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 03/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 4/5 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 16/08/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 42% | +0.26 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 06/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |