3

Mr Bollinger

3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 67

Yarmouth · Bodhi Solutions - Facilities Management Front Runner Handicap · 1m 3f 104y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved when making all under Billy Loughnane over C&D on second handicap start. This requires more, however, he has scope to build on last time and should get the run of the race again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Nottingham 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f50y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS8/0433 @ Lingfield 28/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS28/0434 @ Nottingham 19/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m75y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS19/0545 @ Nottingham 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 67 · 1m2f50y Goo 130 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 67 par20/065OR 676 @ Yarmouth 23/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 65 · 1m3f104y GF 133 · beat its mark23/07/2026 · OR 65 par23/076OR 65projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Yarmouth61st2nd1
2026-06-20Nottingham54th4th0
2026-05-19Nottingham48th7th+1
2026-04-28Lingfield34th2nd+2
2026-04-08Nottingham36th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0428/0419/0520/0623/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 3
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 3. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20266th40/10%38%+0.38
28/04/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
19/05/20268th100/10%30%+0.30
20/06/20264th11/142%25%-0.17
23/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21