1
Shadow Brigade
3yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 78
Yarmouth · Bodhi Solutions - Facilities Management Front Runner Handicap · 1m 3f 104y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Doncaster | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-09-05 | Kempton | 4 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-08-20 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-06-28 | York | 2 | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 3
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 3.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 20/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 05/09/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |