3

Cracking Idea

2yo Colt · 9-4

Yarmouth · Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 3y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed ability when 5¾ lengths fifth of 9 in racecourse bow at Lingfield. Will probably be better over further/in handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f2y Std 13313/074
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Lingfield45th7th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20265th25/10%50%+0.50