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5

Keep Grating

2yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 77

Yarmouth · Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 3y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improving son of Space Traveller. Went close on his third career start at Doncaster (7f) last time, pulling clear with the standard-setting favourite. Looks the one they all have to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Salisbury 30/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 12830/0623 @ Ascot 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f GF 13010/0734 @ Doncaster 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 7f6y GF 13018/074projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Doncaster42nd4th−2
2026-07-10Ascot33rd4th−1
2026-06-30Salisbury26th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0610/0718/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength92%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/06/20266th16/116%50%+0.34
10/07/20263rd33/10%67%+0.67
18/07/20262nd4/179%89%+0.10