7
Sovereign Dawn
2yo Colt · 9-4
Yarmouth · Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 3y
#8
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Yarmouth | 4 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-01 | Windsor | 5 | 10th | 14th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |