1

Telegraphic

2yo Colt · 9-10 · OR 82

Yarmouth · Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 3y

#1

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

80%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Carries a 7 lb penalty for running away with a Brighton maiden by 7½ lengths second time up. Mixed messages about the value of that form but still high on the shortlist with further progress likely.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f195y GF 13324/0644 @ Brighton 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f210y GF 1337/074projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Brighton41st3rd2
2026-06-24Carlisle44th6th2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20264th18/15%70%+0.65
07/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18