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Aspire To Glory

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 48

Yarmouth · Bodhi - Exceeding Expectations In Construction Classified Stakes · 7f 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful 4 times on all-weather for Alice Haynes in 2025. Has yet to scale same heights in handful of starts for present stable but he did at least run respectably when sixth in similar company at Thirsk (1m) 17 days ago. Returns to 7f now and booking of Marquand an obvious plus.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 03/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 56 · 1m142y Std 132 · beat its mark03/06/2025 · OR 56 par3/066OR 566 @ Kempton 09/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 56 · 1m Sta 126 · beat its mark09/07/2025 · OR 56 par6 @ Southwell 01/08/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 56 · 1m13y Std 131 · below its mark01/08/2025 · OR 56 par1/086OR 566 @ Chelmsford City 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 55 · 7f Sta 135 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 55 par6 @ Southwell 14/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 57 · 6f16y Std 132 · below its mark14/03/2026 · OR 57 par14/036OR 576 @ Southwell 15/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 57 · 7f14y Std 132 · below its mark15/04/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Wolverhampton 11/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 55 · 1m142y Std 135 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 55 par11/056OR 556 @ Leicester 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 53 · 1m53y GF 135 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Thirsk 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 50 · 7f218y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 50 par16/076OR 50projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Thirsk66th6th0
2026-07-04Leicester66th6th0
2026-05-11Wolverhampton610th10th0
2026-04-15Southwell611th11th0
2026-03-14Southwell611th11th0
2025-08-21Chelmsford City61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0621/0811/0516/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/06/20254th9/276%67%-0.10
09/07/20253rd12/137%75%+0.38
01/08/202513th9/153%8%-0.45
21/08/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
14/03/202611th10/147%0%-0.47
15/04/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
11/05/202610th22/10%25%+0.25
04/07/20266th14/126%38%+0.11
16/07/20266th28/10%58%+0.58