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5

Caitlin G

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 46

Yarmouth · Bodhi - Exceeding Expectations In Construction Classified Stakes · 7f 3y

#5

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Still to better poor form but she did at least show more than previously on second start for present yard when fourth of 12 in classified company at Lingfield (7f, firm) 11 days ago. Will likely need to step up again to break her duck here, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Windsor 09/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f12y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS9/0641 @ Royal Ascot 18/06/2025 · Pos 22nd of 23 · OR - · 5f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Wolverhampton 30/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f21y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS30/0656 @ Doncaster 02/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 45 · 7f6y Goo 117 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Lingfield 26/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 45 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 45 par26/056OR 456 @ Yarmouth 10/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 42 · 1m3y Sft 124 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 42 par6 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 42 · 1m142y Std 125 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 42 par7/076OR 426 @ Lingfield 22/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 41 · 7f GF 128 · beat its mark22/07/2026 · OR 41 par22/076OR 41projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Lingfield64th4th0
2026-07-07Wolverhampton65th5th0
2026-06-10Yarmouth67th7th0
2026-05-26Lingfield69th9th0
2026-05-02Doncaster69th9th0
2025-06-30Wolverhampton59th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/062/057/0722/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/06/20259th200/10%0%0.00
18/06/202522nd250/10%5%+0.05
30/06/20259th100/10%0%0.00
02/05/20269th14/126%0%-0.26
26/05/20269th50/10%33%+0.33
10/06/20267th40/10%33%+0.33
07/07/20265th50/10%33%+0.33
22/07/20264th100/10%73%+0.73