Nicely Curved
6yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 49
Yarmouth · Bodhi - Exceeding Expectations In Construction Classified Stakes · 7f 3y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Yarmouth | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Kempton | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-03-13 | Doncaster | 4 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-02-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-10 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2024 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 23/08/2024 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 16/08/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 10/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 25/02/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 14% | -0.74 |
| 13/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 23/03/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |