4
Valsharah
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 49
Yarmouth · Bodhi - Exceeding Expectations In Construction Classified Stakes · 7f 3y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thirsk | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 23/04/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 16/05/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 90% | -0.00 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 90% | -0.02 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 63% | -0.14 |