5
Bellini Spirit
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 60
Yarmouth · Bodhi Solutions - Constructing Champions Handicap · 1m 3y
#6
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | Ascot | 4 | 18th | 16th | +2 |
| 2026-04-05 | Bath | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-10-09 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-09-18 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/05/2026 | 18th | 150/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |