IvyArcIvyArc
1

Daretobedifferent

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65

Yarmouth · Bodhi Solutions - Constructing Champions Handicap · 1m 3y

#2

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed a good attitude to get off the mark at Nottingham (1m) in May. Out of her depth at Newmarket (7f) latest. Now drops into a 0-65 for the first time, though will need to recapture her early-season form to capitalise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength82%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chelmsford City 11/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 68 · 6f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 68 par11/095OR 685 @ Lingfield 23/09/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 67 · 6f1y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/09/2025 · OR 67 par4 @ Newmarket 14/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 64 · 7f Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/04/2026 · OR 64 par14/044OR 645 @ Leicester 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 61 · 7f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 62 · 1m Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 62 par15/055OR 626 @ Nottingham 31/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 62 · 1m75y Goo 132 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Lingfield 06/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 62 · 1m1f Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 62 par6/065OR 625 @ Newmarket 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 67 · 1m GF 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 67 par4 @ Newmarket 10/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 66 · 7f GF 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 66 par10/074OR 66projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Newmarket49th7th+2
2026-06-26Newmarket56th5th+1
2026-06-06Lingfield53rd2nd+1
2026-05-31Nottingham61st1st0
2026-05-15Newmarket53rd2nd+1
2026-04-25Leicester53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0925/046/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/09/20257th25/10%50%+0.50
23/09/202510th33/10%10%+0.10
14/04/20269th66/10%33%+0.33
25/04/20263rd22/10%82%+0.82
15/05/20263rd12/137%83%+0.46
31/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
06/06/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
26/06/20266th7/282%17%-0.65
10/07/20269th50/10%20%+0.20