3

Risen Again

5yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 61

Yarmouth · Bodhi Solutions - Commercial Fit-Out Challenge 'Confined' Handicap · 1m 2f 23y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Finally got off the mark for Alice Haynes over C&D last May but has gone with little encouragement in 4 runs for new yard this year, including in cheekpieces (retained) latest.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength56%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Beverley 05/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 71 · 1m1f207y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 71 par5/075OR 714 @ Chester 03/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 71 · 1m2f70y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Goodwood 22/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 70 · 1m1f11y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2025 · OR 70 par22/085OR 705 @ Lingfield 03/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 71 · 1m2f Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Wolverhampton 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 71 · 1m1f104y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/10/2025 · OR 71 par18/105OR 715 @ Lingfield 21/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m5f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 68 · 1m Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 68 par5/045OR 685 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 66 · 1m31y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Ffos Las 04/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 64 · 1m3f209y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 64 par4/065OR 64projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-04Ffos Las56th5th+1
2026-05-07Windsor56th5th+1
2026-04-05Bath511th10th+1
2026-02-21Lingfield512th11th+1
2025-10-18Wolverhampton56th5th+1
2025-09-03Lingfield52nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/073/095/044/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20253rd9/276%60%-0.16
03/08/20258th6/168%0%-0.68
22/08/20252nd9/488%89%+0.01
03/09/20252nd11/271%88%+0.16
18/10/20256th14/126%38%+0.11
21/02/202612th33/10%0%0.00
05/04/202611th28/10%0%0.00
07/05/20266th40/10%50%+0.50
04/06/20266th16/116%0%-0.16