4
Antiphon
7yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 48
Yarmouth · Price Bailey LLP Norwich 'Confined' Handicap · 5f 42y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Nottingham | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Leicester | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-07 | Brighton | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-09-29 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength30%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2025 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 22% | -0.60 |
| 01/09/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 15/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 16/10/2025 | 3rd | 85/40 | 89% | 67% | -0.22 |
| 08/06/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 29/06/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |