Nad Alshiba Snow
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 45
Yarmouth · Price Bailey LLP Norwich 'Confined' Handicap · 5f 42y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Nottingham | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Southwell | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 22/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 25/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 22/12/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 14/01/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/06/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 10% | -0.53 |