5

Beach Partee

3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 56

Brighton · JenningsBet Over 200 Shops Nationwide Handicap · 5f 215y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 3 times as a juvenile but yet to score as a 3-y-o for current yard, not proving much of a threat on the back of a further ease in weights at Bath 3 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 24/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 5f6y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/01/2026 · OR 65 par24/015OR 655 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 65 · 5f10y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Southwell 23/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 65 · 4f214y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/04/2026 · OR 65 par23/045OR 655 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 63 · 4f217y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Bath 22/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 63 · 5f160y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 63 par22/055OR 635 @ Ffos Las 04/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 61 · 5f GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 59 · 6f20y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 59 par16/065OR 596 @ Doncaster 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 59 · 6f2y GF 129 · beat its mark26/06/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Bath 15/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 57 · 5f10y Fm 132 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 57 par15/076OR 57projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Bath64th4th0
2026-06-26Doncaster64th4th0
2026-06-16Wolverhampton56th5th+1
2026-06-04Ffos Las54th3rd+1
2026-05-22Bath55th4th+1
2026-05-18Lingfield58th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0118/0516/0615/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/01/20262nd9/153%80%+0.27
05/04/20269th16/116%0%-0.16
23/04/20265th33/10%0%0.00
18/05/20268th40/10%0%0.00
22/05/20265th33/10%50%+0.50
04/06/20264th25/10%57%+0.57
16/06/20266th40/10%44%+0.44
26/06/20264th40/10%63%+0.63
15/07/20264th16/116%40%+0.24