19:20 · Kempton

Unibet Supporting Safer Gambling Handicap

7fStandardClass 43YO onlyPOLYTRACKHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 774/1
Piscean Star silks

The 2 Under Partnership

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Starman - Ensemble (Iron Mask)

Oisin Murphy70%E A L Dunlop
102
7.0Class ↓2Going 7.0

C&D winner on debut a year ago and, after a lesser effort at Newmarket, got back on track when runner-up in a Chelmsford novice in September. Off 10 months since (has been gelded), but he's one to note as he goes handicapping with Murphy booked.

Class Advantage

11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/0823/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/0818/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%11/08Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 37%23/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%18/09
Projected finish1st of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
3
OR 8110/1
Jumeirah Sands silks

Mr Abdulla Al Mansoori

3yo Filly · 9-10

Blue Point - Kilmah (Sepoy)

K S McHugh60%0/1−7lbI Mohammed & J Santos
51124
7.0Going 8.0

Successful over 6f at Southwell on first 2 outings this year and has shaped well both starts in handicaps, again drawn wide when close fourth of 10 at Wolverhampton 22 days ago. Remains with potential as she goes up in trip.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/089/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par10/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par14/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%10/08Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%9/04Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%7/05Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%10/06Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%14/07
Projected finish2nd of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
2
OR 7514/1
Victory Ace silks

Northumbria Leisure Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Zoustar - Rumaythah (Kodiac)

Mikey Sheehy60%1/1J Butler60%
812651
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
1st Cheekpieces +2

Made a successful handicap/seasonal debut at Lingfield (7f) in April and resumed his progress when landing 14-runner contest at Newcastle (1m) 11 days ago. Yard going well and he can make his presence felt with cheekpieces added.

Class Advantage

5/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a5/1214/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par6/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par26/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%5/12Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 88%6/05Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 69%26/06Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%25/07
Projected finish3rd of 8
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Market Fav6
OR 7511/4
Blakefell silks

Alfa Site Services Ltd & Graeme Curnow

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Kodi Bear - Katherine Lee (Azamour)

S De SousaI Furtado
092163
5.0Class ↓2

Won 7f maiden at Musselburgh in May on return and has run well in handicaps both outings since, length third of 6 at the same course (9f) 6 weeks ago. Can give his running once more back down in trip.

Class Advantage

11/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/094/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/11 · mark par21/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par5/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par22/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 55%11/09Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 68%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 89%5/11Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 44%5/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%22/06
Projected finish4th of 8
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
4
OR 8022/1
Angel Gabriel silks

Highclere Thoroughbred Racing - Cedar

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Mehmas - Nahoodh (Clodovil)

Rossa Ryan80%1/4R M Beckett60%
22148
5.0Going 7.0

Landed the odds in 6f novice at Lingfield in December but yet to improve in 2 handicaps this year, racing too freely when eighth of 11 at Newmarket last month. It still remains early days for him, though.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/1121/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 40%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 88%8/11Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 88%21/11Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%15/12Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 25%25/06Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 30%10/07
Projected finish5th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
3
5
OR 7916/1
Captain Fox silks

Mr Bernie Dickson

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Australia - Tough Spirit (Iffraaj)

Finley Marsh70%1/6R Hughes60%
523165
5.0Going 7.0

Confirmed previous promise when making a winning reappearance in a Lingfield novice (1m) in February. Hasn't managed to improve in 2 handicaps since, though, returning from 3 months off when fifth of 12 at Newbury in July.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/064/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a26/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par7/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par9/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 56%25/06Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 90%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%26/09Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%7/04Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 64%9/07
Projected finish6th of 8
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
7
OR 683/1
Doodling silks

Norman Court Stud

3yo Filly · 8-11

Rumble Inthejungle - Drawing (Dark Angel)

Callum Hutchinson60%1/2Eve Johnson Houghton60%
426871
5.0

Improved from debut when second in 1m novice here on return in April. Got back to a similar level when staying on to win 11-runner novice at Bath (5.7f) in June and this step back up in trip should suit. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/066/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 77%24/06Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%2/05Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%4/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%13/06
Projected finish7th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
8
OR 753/1
Quadrillion silks

Juddmonte

3yo Filly · 9-4

Kingman - Quadrilateral (Frankel)

Colin Keane60%0/1Harry Charlton
326
4.0

Well-bred filly who was a promising third in 6-runner novice at Newmarket on debut last summer. Hasn't managed to build on that in 2 subsequent outings, returning from 10 months off when sixth of 11 in maiden at Yarmouth in June. Now switches to handicaps.

Class Advantage

18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0710/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/0810/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 60%18/07Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 80%10/08Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%10/06
Projected finish8th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend