1
Aspire To Glory
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 48
Brighton · JenningsBet In Deal Classified Stakes · 7f 216y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Yarmouth | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Leicester | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Southwell | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-14 | Southwell | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 01/08/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 8% | -0.45 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/03/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 15/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |