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2

Celebrating Ethel

7yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 44

Brighton · JenningsBet In Deal Classified Stakes · 7f 216y

#9

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner who returned to form to score at Wolverhampton in March. More miss than hit since, however, including in a first-time visor last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 08/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 47 · 1m2f Std 135 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 47 par8/026OR 475 @ Wolverhampton 16/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 47 · 1m142y Std 116 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/02/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Newcastle 12/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 48 · 1m2f42y Std 135 · beat its mark12/03/2026 · OR 48 par12/036OR 486 @ Wolverhampton 17/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 48 · 1m1f104y Std 135 · beat its mark17/03/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Lingfield 25/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m2f Std 139 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 50 par25/036OR 506 @ Windsor 07/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 50 · 1m2f Goo 125 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Brighton 29/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 49 · 7f216y Goo 129 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 49 par29/056OR 496 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 46 · 1m1f207y Gd 126 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Wolverhampton 06/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 45 · 1m142y Std 129 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 45 par6/076OR 45projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Wolverhampton611th11th0
2026-06-09Brighton69th9th0
2026-05-29Brighton69th9th0
2026-05-07Windsor66th6th0
2026-03-25Lingfield67th7th0
2026-03-17Wolverhampton61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0217/0329/056/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20267th20/10%0%0.00
16/02/20264th50/10%50%+0.50
12/03/20267th28/10%45%+0.45
17/03/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
25/03/20267th28/10%33%+0.33
07/05/20266th11/271%29%-0.42
29/05/20269th9/153%20%-0.33
09/06/20269th11/142%33%-0.09
06/07/202611th22/10%17%+0.17