4

Rainbow Sign

8yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 47

Brighton · JenningsBet In Deal Classified Stakes · 7f 216y

#2

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

24%

Place Prob

30%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who followed a good run with a below-par one when seventh of 9 in classified event at Lingfield (1m, AW) 23 days ago. Bounce back required.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 23/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 49 · 1m1y Std 130 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 49 par23/096OR 496 @ Lingfield 04/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 50 · 1m1y Std 130 · beat its mark04/11/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Lingfield 08/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 50 · 1m1y Std 130 · beat its mark08/12/2025 · OR 50 par8/126OR 506 @ Lingfield 12/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 49 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark12/01/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Lingfield 10/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 48 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark10/02/2026 · OR 48 par10/026OR 486 @ Kempton 04/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 47 · 7f Sta 135 · beat its mark04/03/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Bath 05/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 46 · 1m Goo 126 · beat its mark05/04/2026 · OR 46 par5/046OR 466 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 46 · 6f210y Gd 135 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 48 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 48 par13/076OR 48projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Lingfield67th7th0
2026-06-09Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-04-05Bath64th4th0
2026-03-04Kempton65th5th0
2026-02-10Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-01-12Lingfield66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0912/015/0413/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength34%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20252nd9/153%89%+0.36
04/11/20257th7/163%45%-0.18
08/12/202510th14/126%10%-0.16
12/01/20266th25/10%50%+0.50
10/02/20263rd13/266%67%+0.01
04/03/20265th12/137%60%+0.23
05/04/20264th16/116%77%+0.61
09/06/20262nd5/174%86%+0.12
13/07/20267th25/10%25%+0.25