Sangara
4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 50
Brighton · JenningsBet In Deal Classified Stakes · 7f 216y
#8
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-04 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Pontefract | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Chepstow | 2 | 12th | 7th | +4 |
| 2025-08-14 | Chepstow | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Haydock | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-06-25 | Kempton | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2024 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 10/10/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/11/2024 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/06/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/07/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 25/08/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 18/09/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 04/10/2025 | 12th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |