Skyolaire
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 46
Brighton · JenningsBet In Deal Classified Stakes · 7f 216y
#4
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Brighton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Bath | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Bath | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Leicester | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-09-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 03/09/2025 | 5th | 150/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 14/10/2025 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |