9
Giant
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 63
Brighton · Sapporo Japanese Premium Lager Brighton Mile Challenge Handicap · 7f 216y
#6
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Chester | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Chester | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-02 | Yarmouth | 6 | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Windsor | 6 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-19 | Lingfield | 6 | 10th | 12th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength35%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 07/04/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 24/04/2026 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.39 |
| 19/05/2026 | 10th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 11/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 25/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |