7
Glen Nevis
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 75
Brighton · Sapporo Japanese Premium Lager Brighton Mile Challenge Handicap · 7f 216y
#7
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Newmarket | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Redcar | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Doncaster | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |