4

Here I Bow

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 80

Brighton · Sapporo Japanese Premium Lager Brighton Mile Challenge Handicap · 7f 216y

#9

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful 7f winner when trained in France last year. However, has finished down the field in 2 handicaps for current yard this season, the latest at Windsor (1m) in May. Has had a breathing operation since.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength43%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 06/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 4f213y Sft 1246/05C5C5 @ Angers 20/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 119C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 23/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f156y Sft 12423/06C5C1 @ Vichy 16/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 124 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Deauville 05/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 7f100y Gd 1255/08C5C1 @ Lyon-Parilly 09/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 122 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Le Mans 06/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1226/10C54 @ Yarmouth 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 83 · 7f3y GF 135 · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Windsor 11/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 82 · 1m31y Goo 137 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 82 par11/054OR 82projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-11Windsor411th11th0
2026-04-30Yarmouth47th7th0
2025-10-06Le Mans?2nd3rd1
2025-09-09Lyon-Parilly?5th1st+3
2025-08-05Deauville?6th7th1
2025-07-16Vichy?6th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0516/076/1011/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/05/20256th20/10%38%+0.38
20/05/20256th17/255%38%-0.18
23/06/20251st40/10%100%+1.00
16/07/20256th66/10%38%+0.38
05/08/20256th33/10%17%+0.17
09/09/20255th22/10%20%+0.20
06/10/20252nd50/10%86%+0.86
30/04/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
11/05/202611th50/10%9%+0.09