3
Newfangled
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 74
Brighton · Sapporo Japanese Premium Lager Brighton Mile Challenge Handicap · 7f 216y
#3
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Windsor | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ascot | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Lingfield | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Lingfield | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 15/09/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 14/10/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 45% | +0.40 |
| 14/04/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |