6
Beryl's Girl
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 60
Brighton · Monty Bennetts 18th Birthday Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Leicester | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Brighton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Windsor | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bath | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Bath | 4 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 25/07/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 13/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 27/04/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 22/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 04/07/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |