8

Daley T
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 46
Brighton · JenningsBet 'We Love Brighton Racecourse' 'Confined' Handicap · 6f 210y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Chepstow | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 02/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 44% | -0.16 |
| 07/03/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |