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Havana Mojito

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 56

Brighton · JenningsBet 'We Love Brighton Racecourse' 'Confined' Handicap · 6f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

All 3 career victories at this course and runner-up 3 times here this season. Again found only one too strong at Doncaster 18 days ago, the winner scoring again since, but he could be ready to return to winning ways.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Bath 30/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 62 · 1m Goo 137 · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 62 par30/096OR 626 @ Brighton 16/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 60 · 6f210y Goo 135 · beat its mark16/10/2025 · OR 60 par6 @ Lingfield 04/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 58 · 7f1y Std 131 · below its mark04/11/2025 · OR 58 par4/116OR 586 @ Bath 29/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 55 · 1m Fm 135 · beat its mark29/04/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Leicester 25/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 55 · 7f Goo 135 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 55 par25/056OR 556 @ Brighton 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 55 · 7f216y Goo 135 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Brighton 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 55 · 6f210y Goo 135 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 55 par22/066OR 556 @ Brighton 30/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 55 · 6f210y GF 135 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Doncaster 18/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 56 · 7f6y GF 127 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 56 par18/076OR 56projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Doncaster62nd2nd0
2026-06-30Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-06-22Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-05-29Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-05-25Leicester65th5th0
2026-04-29Bath64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0929/0422/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength86%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20258th9/276%22%-0.54
16/10/20256th16/116%62%+0.46
04/11/202512th22/10%8%+0.08
29/04/20264th11/142%57%+0.15
25/05/20265th9/153%60%+0.07
29/05/20262nd5/287%90%+0.03
22/06/20262nd10/382%88%+0.05
30/06/20262nd2/189%90%+0.01
18/07/20262nd11/271%86%+0.15