5

King Cherry

3yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 60

Brighton · JenningsBet 'We Love Brighton Racecourse' 'Confined' Handicap · 6f 210y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

No better than mid-division in his qualifying runs, before possibly needing the outing after 10 weeks off when last of 6 in handicap at Sandown 12 days ago. This should reveal more.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 06/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS6/0445 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f36y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS27/0454 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS15/0545 @ Sandown 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 63 · 7f Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 63 par24/075OR 63projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Sandown56th5th+1
2026-05-15Newmarket48th6th+2
2026-04-27Wolverhampton55th4th+1
2026-04-06Kempton47th5th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0427/0415/0524/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/04/20267th100/10%45%+0.45
27/04/20265th11/486%60%-0.26
15/05/20268th100/10%22%+0.22
24/07/20266th6/168%0%-0.68