9
Miraflores
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 45
Brighton · JenningsBet 'We Love Brighton Racecourse' 'Confined' Handicap · 6f 210y
#8
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Salisbury | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Lingfield | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kempton | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Lingfield | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08/2025 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 04/09/2025 | 10th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/12/2025 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/01/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 21/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |