7

Viking Glory

3yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 58

Brighton · JenningsBet 'We Love Brighton Racecourse' 'Confined' Handicap · 6f 210y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form in maiden/novice events for Adrian Keatley. Below par in handicaps on first 3 starts for current yard, but took a step back in the right direction when third of 6 at Yarmouth (6f) 3 weeks ago. Interesting from his easing mark switched to cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength62%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ York 10/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 6f Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS10/1035 @ Newcastle 02/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f14y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Newcastle 29/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS29/1244 @ Newcastle 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 71 · 1m5y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Windsor 04/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 69 · 6f12y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 69 par4/055OR 695 @ Lingfield 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 66 · 4f217y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 66 par6 @ Windsor 15/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 63 · 5f21y Goo 133 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 63 par15/066OR 636 @ Yarmouth 15/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 59 · 6f3y GF 130 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 59 par15/076OR 59projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Yarmouth63rd3rd0
2026-06-15Windsor610th10th0
2026-05-18Lingfield57th6th+1
2026-05-04Windsor512th11th+1
2026-01-09Newcastle43rd1st+2
2025-12-29Newcastle45th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/109/0115/0615/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength7%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20254th14/126%57%+0.31
02/12/20252nd4/596%88%-0.08
29/12/20255th3/184%56%-0.29
09/01/20263rd9/488%50%-0.38
04/05/202612th17/255%8%-0.47
18/05/20267th12/137%14%-0.23
15/06/202610th13/266%0%-0.66
15/07/20263rd9/153%60%+0.07