7
Coast
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 45
Brighton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 5f 60y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Brighton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Bath | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 05/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 13/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |