4

Faustus

8yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 57

Brighton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 5f 60y

#2

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

40%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who has finished runner up on 2 of his last 3 starts, no match for a thriving rival for the latest of them over C&D 4 weeks ago. Has blinkers reapplied today and he's one to bear in mind from this sort of mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength75%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 10/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 68 · 5f6y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/01/2026 · OR 68 par10/015OR 685 @ Lingfield 14/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 68 · 5f6y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/01/2026 · OR 68 par5 @ Goodwood 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 65 · 5f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 65 par2/055OR 655 @ Lingfield 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 62 · 4f217y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 61 · 4f217y Goo 131 · below its mark19/05/2026 · OR 61 par19/056OR 615 @ Newbury 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 60 · 5f34y GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Windsor 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 57 · 5f21y GF 132 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 57 par22/066OR 575 @ Newbury 02/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 57 · 5f34y GF 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Brighton 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 58 · 5f60y GF 132 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 58 par7/076OR 58projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-07-02Newbury56th5th+1
2026-06-22Windsor62nd2nd0
2026-06-01Newbury57th6th+1
2026-05-19Lingfield67th7th0
2026-05-09Lingfield53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/019/0522/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength78%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/01/20265th7/282%33%-0.48
14/01/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
02/05/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
09/05/20263rd11/271%71%+0.00
19/05/20267th9/276%14%-0.62
01/06/20267th15/261%0%-0.61
22/06/20262nd14/126%91%+0.65
02/07/20266th11/486%29%-0.57
07/07/20262nd2/189%75%-0.14