2
Kento
5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 59
Brighton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 5f 60y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
54%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Windsor | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Brighton | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Brighton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 16/03/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 24/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |