Pop Dancer
9yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 61
Brighton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 5f 60y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-31 | Brighton | 2 | 13th | 8th | +4 |
| 2025-08-06 | Brighton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-06-09 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-27 | Brighton | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-21 | Brighton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Goodwood | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 25/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 28/03/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 03/05/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 21/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 27/05/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 09/06/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 06/08/2025 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 10% | -0.69 |
| 31/08/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |