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6

Titus Thor

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 45

Brighton · Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap · 5f 60y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced 6-y-o who wasn't seen to entirely best effect when fifth in a Chepstow classified event (5f) 33 days ago, albeit again fading out of contention. More on his plate back in a handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 16/09/2024 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f Sta 132 · HIGHER CLASS16/0955 @ Kempton 22/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 132 · HIGHER CLASS22/1054 @ Kempton 03/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m Sta 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/1146 @ Wolverhampton 25/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 48 · 6f20y Std 128 · beat its mark25/11/2025 · OR 48 par25/116OR 486 @ Bath 22/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 46 · 5f160y Goo 126 · beat its mark22/05/2026 · OR 46 par22/056OR 466 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 45 · 5f10y Goo 126 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 45 par13/066OR 456 @ Chepstow 03/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 45 · 5f16y Goo 135 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 45 par3/076OR 45projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Chepstow65th5th0
2026-06-13Bath65th5th0
2026-05-22Bath69th9th0
2025-11-25Wolverhampton611th11th0
2025-11-03Kempton47th5th+2
2025-10-22Kempton512th11th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0925/113/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/09/202411th200/10%0%0.00
22/10/202512th300/10%0%0.00
03/11/20257th200/10%0%0.00
25/11/202511th50/10%9%+0.09
22/05/20269th33/10%27%+0.27
13/06/20265th50/10%69%+0.69
03/07/20265th6/168%43%-0.26