Beauty's Bangle
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 71
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-10-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-10-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 23/07/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 19/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 03/11/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 19/11/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |