3
Glory Bound Clara
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 62
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 22/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 05/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |