6

Reiterate
9yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 47
Finger Lakes · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 20/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 25/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |