2
Lifeisbutadream
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
95%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Finger Lakes | BHA76 | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength23%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 10/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |