IvyArcIvyArc
5

Rubies For Olivia

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 76

Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m

#5

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Finger Lakes 24/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 6f 12124/09C6C5 @ Finger Lakes 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 69 par20/05C5OR 69C5 @ Finger Lakes 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 75 · 6f 120 · beat its mark03/06/2026 · OR 75 par3/06C5OR 75C5 @ Finger Lakes 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 75 · 6f 120 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 75 par14/07C5OR 75projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-06-03Finger Lakes?1st1st0
2026-05-20Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2025-09-24Finger Lakes?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0920/053/0614/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength36%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
20/05/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
03/06/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
14/07/20264th13/266%25%-0.41