1

Rockinmoney

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 78

Finger Lakes · Race 3 - Allowance · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

9/4

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Finger Lakes 22/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 84 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 84 par22/09C5OR 84C5 @ Finger Lakes 06/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 83 · 5f110y 121 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 83 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 21/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark21/10/2025 · OR 84 par21/10C5OR 84C5 @ Finger Lakes 26/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 87 · 1m70y Slo 121 · below its mark26/11/2025 · OR 87 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 27/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 79 · 4f110y 124 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 79 par27/04C5OR 79C5 @ Finger Lakes 11/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 76 · 5f 124 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 76 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 6f 124 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 75 par27/05C5OR 75C5 @ Finger Lakes 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 76 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 75 par21/07C5OR 75projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-21Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-23Finger Lakes?6th6th0
2026-05-27Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-05-11Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-04-27Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2025-11-26Finger Lakes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0926/1127/0521/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength71%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20253rd9/153%33%-0.19
06/10/20252nd5/287%80%-0.07
21/10/20254th5/493%57%-0.36
26/11/20255th15/890%20%-0.70
27/04/20263rd9/276%60%-0.16
11/05/20262nd10/1195%80%-0.15
27/05/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
23/06/20266th11/271%38%-0.34
21/07/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08