8
Foxy Cara
6yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 72
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength95%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/10/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 01/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 11/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 26/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |