Nice Baby
6yo Mare · 8-6 · OR 81
Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-09-22 | Fort Erie | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-08-18 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-07-22 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-06-15 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2024 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 02/07/2024 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 22/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 15/06/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 22/07/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 18/08/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/10/2025 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |