4
King Solomon
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 59
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength91%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 02/06/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 16/06/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/07/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |