7
Romantic Charmer
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 62
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-15 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-07-11 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-06-06 | Saratoga | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-05-11 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-04-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-03-07 | Aqueduct | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 07/03/2024 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 04/04/2024 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 11/05/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 06/06/2024 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 30% | -0.52 |
| 11/07/2024 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 15/08/2024 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |